Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.078264 0.087619 0.097182 0.107658 0.118783 0.130217 0.142830
2025-06-01 0.059525 0.073024 0.087536 0.104160 0.122545 0.142133 0.164463
2025-06-08 0.047386 0.063073 0.080688 0.101611 0.125488 0.151614 0.182101
2025-06-15 0.041021 0.058502 0.078846 0.103708 0.132756 0.165163 0.203608
2025-06-22 0.035487 0.054109 0.076525 0.104634 0.138162 0.176191 0.221932
2025-06-29 0.032792 0.052822 0.077593 0.109281 0.147673 0.191752 0.245301
2025-07-06 0.028713 0.049276 0.075496 0.109777 0.152004 0.201109 0.261382
2025-07-13 0.028389 0.050635 0.079522 0.117771 0.165333 0.221037 0.289800
2025-07-20 0.023962 0.045901 0.075345 0.115209 0.165597 0.225330 0.299777
2025-07-27 0.022538 0.045279 0.076464 0.119286 0.173962 0.239262 0.321119
2025-08-03 0.020160 0.043006 0.075182 0.120120 0.178187 0.248141 0.336420
2025-08-10 0.018177 0.041129 0.074290 0.121345 0.182817 0.257454 0.352209
2025-08-17 0.016072 0.039023 0.073188 0.122544 0.187814 0.267747 0.369888
2025-08-24 0.012953 0.034877 0.068924 0.119334 0.187092 0.271014 0.379163
2025-08-31 0.010408 0.031311 0.065222 0.116661 0.186892 0.274810 0.389005
2025-09-07 0.009293 0.030202 0.065131 0.118954 0.193170 0.286697 0.408773
2025-09-14 0.008046 0.028635 0.064200 0.119961 0.197683 0.296330 0.425759
2025-09-21 0.007690 0.028844 0.066074 0.125003 0.207618 0.312877 0.451362
2025-09-28 0.006576 0.027245 0.064904 0.125540 0.211427 0.321594 0.467236
2025-10-05 0.006910 0.028937 0.069220 0.134193 0.226323 0.344578 0.500989
2025-10-12 0.005426 0.026164 0.065900 0.131423 0.225549 0.347382 0.509489
2025-10-19 0.005134 0.026224 0.067386 0.135832 0.234640 0.362934 0.534013
2025-10-26 0.004405 0.025016 0.066585 0.136733 0.238853 0.372156 0.550584